The World According to IBM (2004 wk 25)
Some notes taken at a IBM conference in Montpellier for ‘System Integrators’ like Atos, CSC, EDS and Getronics.
Computing will be adaptive, organic, intelligent; there will be pervasive connectivity and embedded systems on a massively large scale; RFID's everywhere, even 'smart dust' will be possible (computers the size of a speck of dust).
Important objects (people, cars etc) will have proxies (digital ID's, take a look at www.friendster.com <http://www.friendster.com/> ) to enable efficient integrated lifecycle-management.
Business key imperatives: focussed, responsive (respond with speed to customer needs, market opportunities and external threats), variable, resilient. Businesses are componentizing into discrete services (1. transformation of product-silo's in enterprises to customer-led competences; 2. deconstruction of integrated value chains into industry value networks), enhancing flexibility and innovation capabilities. Virtual businesses: >50% of top 500 US companies have less than 100 employees but lots of partners who perform outsourced tasks.
Applications are following a parallel path (modular).
Underlying infrastructure should be open (standards), integrated, virtualized* and autonomic in order to support business change ("late binding infra").
Chip technology: there are some physical barriers ahead but Moore's Law will be valid for at least 5 more years.
CIO pains: complexity, poor resource utilization, IT costs, slow operational change (no flexibility).
* Virtualization: IBM has technology to utilize spare computer capacity (Wintel server usually has 95% (!) spare capacity, Unix server 80%, mainframe 30%).
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