"Them and us" - groups competing for resources and I supprose ultimately for happiness - remains one of the fundamental social drivers. What's changing is the question of identity, seeing as geographical demarkation is being replaced or at least diminished in significance by IT enabled communities. So who are "they" and who are "we"?
posted by Mark Smalley @ 11:24 AM
0 comments
Source: www.btplc.com
The sources for the timeline include the preceding BT technology timeline, the web, magazines, chats with world experts and from interesting newsletters such as the Harrow report and Peter Cochrane (www.cochrane.org.uk)
The future comes to us all at 60 minutes an hour but the timeline allows us to look a bit further up the road and see what could be happening. It is up to you decide what to do about it, or even to ignore it, but we certainly hope you will enjoy thinking about the future and the impact it will have on you in work, life and play.
posted by Mark Smalley @ 12:46 PM
0 comments
Source: www.cia.gov | ||||
| Relative Certainties | Key Uncertainties | |||
| Globalization largely irreversible, likely to become less Westernized. | Whether globalization will pull in lagging economies; degree to which Asian countries set new rules of the game. | |||
| World economy substantially larger. | Extent of gaps between haves and have-nots; backsliding by fragile democracies; managing or containing financial crises. | |||
| Increasing number of global firms facilitate spread of new technologies. | Extent to which connectivity challenges governments. | |||
| Rise of Asia and advent of possible new economic middle-weights. | Whether rise of China/India occurs smoothly. | |||
| Aging populations in established powers. | Ability of EU and Japan to adapt work forces, welfare systems, and integrate migrant populations; whether EU becomes a superpower. | |||
| Energy supplies in the ground sufficient to meet global demand. | Political instability in producer countries; supply disruptions. | |||
| Growing power of nonstate actors. | Willingness and ability of states and international institutions to accommodate these actors. | |||
| Political Islam remains a potent force. | Impact of religiosity on unity of states and potential for conflict; growth of jihadist ideology. | |||
| Improved WMD capabilities of some states. | More or fewer nuclear powers; ability of terrorists to acquire biological, chemical, radiological, or nuclear weapons. | |||
| Arc of instability spanning Middle East, Asia, Africa. | Precipitating events leading to overthrow of regimes. | |||
| Great power conflict escalating into total war unlikely. | Ability to manage flashpoints and competition for resources. | |||
| Environmental and ethical issues even more to the fore. | Extent to which new technologies create or resolve ethical dilemmas. | |||
| US will remain single most powerful actor economically, technologically, militarily. | Whether other countries will more openly challenge Washington; whether US loses S&T edge. | |||
posted by Mark Smalley @ 12:09 PM
0 comments
Draadloos en klein, dus overal iedereen en 'alles' aan elkaar gekoppeld. Denk nog terug aan 1995, had je je kunnen voorstellen dat we nu internet in je broekzak hebben?
Globalisatie brengt mensen uit en naar andere streken, verhuist werk naar economisch voordelige plaatsen.
Over 20 jaar hersenen aan computer gekoppeld, toegang tot alles wat je ooit meegemaakt hebt?
IPv6
Lachbelasting
Geregistreerd (go digital)
Domme mensen (auto nav)
Tim O Reilly Web 2.0 users add value. Collab sites flickr.
posted by Mark Smalley @ 8:55 PM
0 comments
I've been fascinated by the musings of futurologists and can recommend taking a look at the following sources.
http://www.kurzweilai.net/meme/frame.html?main=/meme/memelist.html?m%3D10
http://www.kurzweilai.net/meme/frame.html?main=/articles/art0448.html?m%3D7
http://www.clubofamsterdam.com/press.asp?contentid=220&catid=61
http://www.iftf.org/docs/IFTF_2004_TYF_Intro.pdf
http://www.saffo.com/
http://www.theharrowgroup.com/
http://www.futurebrief.com/
http://www.btinternet.com/~ian.pearson/
http://www.phealth2004.ulster.ac.uk/Abstracts/Ian%20Pearson.pdf
posted by Mark Smalley @ 8:00 PM
0 comments
Some original thoughts but mostly comments on various subjects.
